Back in August, you may recall I made some predictions for the current football season. As the title of this blog suggests, I may have got it a little wrong. Some might say badly wrong, others might even go as far as to say it was all a complete load of tripe. But that’s the thing about trying to predict stuff. The folks at the Met Office do degrees and what have you, and they still can’t predict the weather to any level of accuracy!
Just to recap, I’ll put my predictions against existing standings (as at 20th March 2012), just to make it easier for you to see how horrifically bad I was:
1. Manchester Utd 1. Manchester Utd
2. Chelsea 2. Manchester City
3. Manchester City 3. Tottenham
4. Arsenal 4. Arsenal
5. Liverpool 5. Chelsea
18. Wigan 18. QPR
19. Norwich 19. Wigan
20. Swansea 20. Wolves
So, as you can see, I had no faith in Swansea or Norwich, and yet they are easily holding their own around the mid-table area. At least I had the sense to see another struggle for Wigan. The two Top 5’s are fairly similar in that the usual suspects are there. I didn’t expect Spurs to have such an impact though. And Liverpool have let me down. Again.
1. West Ham 1. Southampton
2. Reading 2. Reading
Leeds (promoted) West Ham
Nottingham Forest Birmingham
22. Crystal Palace 22. Coventry
23. Peterborough 23. Doncaster
24. Brighton 24. Portsmouth
I got Brighton’s season wildly wrong for a start!! West Ham have been around the top most of the season and could still conceivably get back to the top, but Southampton do look unbeatable at the moment. Neither did I compute the problems that have engulfed Portsmouth yet again. Peterborough are near the bottom, but the current bottom three seem poor enough to ensure Peterborough stay up. Leeds probably won’t be going up though, even with new manager Neil Warnock. And at least I’ve got Reading right as potential promotion candidates!!
1. Sheffield Utd 1. Charlton
2. Sheffield Wed 2. Sheffield Utd
Charlton (promoted) Sheffield Wed
Huddersfield MK Dons
Preston NE Carlisle Utd
21. Stevenage 21. Walsall
22. Notts County 22. Rochdale
23. Walsall 23. Exeter
24. Bury 24. Chesterfield
As it stands, I could still get all three promoted teams right, but in a different order. Huddersfield are also up there. Stevenage have proved me wrong in a pretty spectacular way, seeing as they currently lie just outside the play-off zone and played their way to the FA Cup 5th Round just to rub it in!
Down at the bottom, I have managed to guess at Walsall’s struggle at least. Which, for a Shrewsbury fan was quite a nice, pleasurable surprise!! Bury are also struggling and might still slip into the bottom four by season’s end. Notts County will not though, they are battling for a play-off spot along with Stevenage.
1. Swindon 1. Swindon
2. Shrewsbury Town 2. Torquay Utd
3. Bristol Rovers 3. Shrewsbury Town
Crawley (promoted) Southend
Crewe Alex Crawley
Plymouth Oxford Utd
23. AFC Wimbledon 23. Hereford
24. Barnet 24. Dagenham & Redbridge
First thing’s first, I’m happy to say that Shrewsbury haven’t let me down this season. Yet. Swindon have surprised nobody, whereas Torquay have. I expected them to have an average season having lost their manager and some star players to Bristol Rovers (who I thought would be up there), but it’s turned out the opposite, so what do I know?! Crawley are in the play-off mix, so I could well be getting that right. The big over-estimation is obviously Plymouth. I had them as play-off contenders, but problems off the field have left them floundering at the bottom all season. A bit of a recovery has given them a fighting chance, as other clubs have surprisingly struggled – Northampton and Dagenham & Redbridge namely. Barnet are in a relegation fight, so could prove me right. AFC Wimbledon aren’t mathematically safe yet, but I don’t expect them to go down this season. Which is quite nice actually.
As for my Conference promotion tips, only Luton are still in with a chance of fulfilling my prophecy, but only just. Fleetwood look like running away with the title, and Wrexham are also dangerously good this season. Lincoln however, are in a huge mess and in danger of suffering a second successive relegation.
There it is then. I will refrain from making any more foolish predictions because I will only get them wrong!
I will, however, say that Celtic will win the Scottish Premier League this season!!!